Sunday, October 28, 2007

SEC Weekend Wrap Up

Another beating for those bucking the odds, as the SEC delivers one more strange and exciting weekend in 2007. I didn't feel too confident about these picks, or the lines, and the outcomes proved that as I have my worst week to date: 2-4 against the spread, 3-3 picking the winner.
11-7 (lines) and 40-8 (winner) respectively on the year now.

I am seriously thinking the boys in Vegas just added 7 points to whatever line they originally concluded. There's not much other explanation for Auburn by 17, Florida by 8 1/2, and I truly believe the bookies liked Carolina to win, but the "7 point rule" swung the line for the Vols.

In case you didn't know, the house bets on the teams NOT to cover the lines. The "7-points" really helped the bookies cash out in week 9 of the college football season, let's take a look at why.

-The Razorbacks handled the Florida International Panthers in style this week, padding the offensive stats, with 439 total yards (249 rushing). In typical Razorback fashion, the defense wasn't statistically impressive (281 yards allowed) against a very inept offense in the 58-10 route.

Coach Nutt will match "offensive wits" with the Ole' Ball Coach next week. We'll see if the soft part of the schedule allowed for some improvement for the Hogs.

-Auburn kept the Rebels at bay all night in a fairly unimpressive win, 17-3 on the Plains. According to the stat line, the Tigers should have stomped the Rebels worse than the Razorbacks did Fla. Int., as Auburn dominated total yards, rushing yards, passing yards, and time of possession by nearly double across the board.

Auburn has one more tune up game (Tennessee Tech) and a bye week before diving headlong into the Georgia and Bama rivalries, while the Rebels may end up the lone SEC team not to be bowl eligible this season.

-Georgia just flat beat up the Gators, in game where Mark Richt out-coached Urban Meyer in the Cocktail Party. The Bulldogs dominated the critical overall stats, but the 188 yard, 3 TD performance from this Moreno kid was probably the biggest difference.

The pressure on Tebow was something LSU and now Georgia noticed from the Auburn game, and it has derailed the high-flying Gator offense in their three loses.

Florida looses control of their own destiny, and the Bulldogs may be heating up at the end of the year, just like in 2006. The East is wildly wide open for the last month of the regular season. It should be exciting.

-I really thought the Kentucky spread offense would be a terrible match up for the Bulldogs, especially when considering the 31 points West Virginia's spread hung on them in the opening 17 minutes last week.....NOT so fast, my friend.

Rushing yards, 200 of them, and turnovers, 6 of them, helped the Wool Dawgs roar past #14 Kentucky, 31-14 in Lexington.

Ole Sly may be on the cusp of bowl eligibility with 5 wins already. The clock is well past midnight on the Wildcats Cinderella season, but they have some big games left to try and fit their foot back in the glass slipper. They'll need some help though.

-The Carolina-Tennessee contest was another statistical romp that did not carry-over onto the scoreboard. The "Cock and Fire" rolled up 501 yards of total offense to the Vols' 317. The running game and time of possession were well in the column of the Gamecocks, but 4 turnovers (3 in the first half) negated that effort in the 27-24 overtime loss for Spurrier's squad.

The Vols, surprisingly take control of their own destiny for the last month of 2007, and we'll see if they can stay on top of the East.

-What did I say about the Commodores!?! A nice win, but it fell a field goal shy of covering the Vegas spread in the 24-13 victory in Nashville. Bobby Johnson is about to be Bowl Bound (5-3), and there's not a single non-Vanderbilt fan that could be happier than your's truly. Go 'Dores!

They've got a few more big games to try and solidify Bobby J. as the best coach in Vanderbilt history, as the Dores take on Kentucky, Florida, Tennessee, and a solid Wake Forest squad on their way to 'six wins?!?'

Cam's week 10 Games of Interest: Wisconsin at Ohio State, Texas A&M at Oklahoma, and LSU at Alabama.

Tevo: Arizona State at Oregon, South Carolina at Arkansas, Nebraska at Kansas.

Don't Buy The Hype: Missouri at Colorado, Texas at Oklahoma State, Florida State at Boston College.

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